Some bad luck with errors last few days but we are still 6-4 last 10 with a profit and 49-27 last 76 look for me to bounce back with this dog play today guaranteed!

 4 losses in a row on POD and the only one I can really take is the Rays +125 on Sunday despite them too getting out to a 3-0 lead and blowing it.  Saturday night it was the Rangers blowing their 2-1 lead in the 9th inning and losing in the 11th on a silly over thrown error by the Rangers.  Last night was one of the more frustrating losses of the 4 game losing POD streak as the Pirates scored 9 runs in the 1st inning, but 5 of them were unearned.  The Brewers went on to out score them 9-2 the rest of the game as I knew they’d be hitters.  With that said this stuff happens in gambling and we bounced back with a 3-Dime winner on the Giants +105 hopefully a sign of things to come!
 

Today I am going with the Reds at home as under dogs.  Despite Strasburg’s success I find this a tough match up for him facing arguably the best offense in the National League as the Reds lead the league in runs scored.  Washington has lost 5 straight and are 15-33 on the road this year yet they are favorites?? Vegas and everyone else has bought into the hype of Strasburg which has been close to accurate thus far.  However, I have yet to see him tested by an offense of caliber like the Reds.  Cincinnati has averaged 5.71 runs overall in their last 5 compared to the Nationals 2.60.  Reds at home this season are hitting .288 with 5.83 runs per 9 vs. RHP which they will see in Strasburg.  Strasburg has gotten into trouble in the early innings of his last few starts so I expect the Reds to be patient early as Strasburg has thrown 30+ pitches in his last few starts in the 1st inning. 
 
Arroyo will counter Strasburg and the Nationals should not be excited about this.  Arroyo who has a 1.29 ERA and is 3-0 in his last two starts has a 0.78 ERA in his last 3 starts vs. the Nationals.  Washington has 0 HR in 115 AB with a .651 OPS vs. Arroyo and are scoring just 3.77 runs per 9 vs. RHP on the road and 2.27 runs per 9 vs. RHP in their last 5 games.  Washington is 7-19 in their last 26 vs. RH starter and 3-7 in their last 10 in Cinci.  While the Reds are 22-8 in Arroyo’s last 30 vs. a team with a losing record.  Arroyo is a classy veteran who will keep the Nats off balance all day long while the Reds get a couple runs like they know how off Strasburg.  Strasburg goes an average of 6 IP this year and the Nats care more about keeping his pitch count low than they do about winning a game.  Bullpen will come into factor big time and I give the Reds bats a major advantage. 

Where to find Freddy?